断陷湖盆隐蔽油藏预测及勘探的关键技术--高精度地震探测基础上的层序地层学研究   总被引：82，自引：6，他引：76  

李思田  潘元林等 《地球科学》2002,27(5):592-598

近十余年世界的我国隐蔽油藏勘探取得了巨大进展,其关键技术是高精度的三维地震及在此基础上的层序地层学研究,二者的结合已被油气产业部门当作勘探中的“权威性技术”。断陷湖盆在我国东部含油气资源的重要性居首位,控制层序形成演化的诸因素中,构造,古气候和在区域古地理格局中的位置对湖盆的类型和演化起着决定作用,需要按照断陷湖盆的沉积构造演化特征建立有预测功能的层序构成模式,在成熟的勘探区,重新建立等时层序地层格架,进行体系域精度的工业制图,阐明沉积体系的分布规律,使用高精度地球物理技术对圈闭定位,并对构造坡折带和低位域扇体给予重点注意,用这种技术方法指导隐蔽油气藏的勘探,已经并必将有许多重要发现。  相似文献   

焦作市4—9月短期降水精细化预报系统   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

司福意  刘跃红  黄克磊  罗楠  李艳红  苗卫东 《气象》2006,32(8):77-80

在降水时空变化研究的基础上，完成辖区降水区划；用计算机识别T213风场中槽线、切变线等影响系统，并按其相对于预报站方位，确定对其影响强度指数，组合预报因子，建立判别方程，制作分县0～12小时、12～24小时降水分级预报。经检验，系统对降水落区有较强预报能力。  相似文献   

Reducing standard errors by incorporating spatial autocorrelation into a measurement scheme for soil carbon credits     

Siân Mooney  Ken Gerow  John Antle  Susan Capalbo  Keith Paustian 《Climatic change》2007,80(1-2):55-72

Several studies have suggested that geostatistical techniques could be employed to reduce overall transactions costs associated with contracting for soil C credits by increasing the efficacy of sampling protocols used to measure C-credits. In this paper, we show how information about the range of spatial autocorrelation can be used in a measurement scheme to reduce the size of the confidence intervals that bound estimates of the mean number of C-credits generated per hectare. A tighter confidence interval around the mean number of C-credits sequestered could increase producer payments for each hectare enrolled in a contract to supply C-credits. An empirical application to dry land cropping systems in three regions of Montana shows that information about the spatial autocorrelation exhibited by soil C could be extremely valuable for reducing transactions costs associated with contracts for C-credits but the benefits are not uniform across all regions or cropping systems. Accounting for spatial autocorrelation greatly reduced the standard errors and narrowed the confidence intervals associated with sample estimates of the mean number of C-credits produced per hectare. For the payment mechanism considered in this paper, tighter confidence intervals around the mean number of C-credits created per hectare enrolled could increase producer payments by more than 100 percent under a C-contract.  相似文献   

菏泽市夏季对流天气预报方法     

魏秀兰  司奉泰  程德海 《山东气象》2007,27(2):22-24

利用2004-2005年4-9月逐日常规高空格点资料，根据产生对流天气的三个基本条件，即水汽条件、不稳定层结条件和抬升力条件，进行因子的选取和组合，用逐步回归方法建立了各县市12～24小时客观预报方程，利用VB6．0编程，自动调取资料选取因子，将计算结果显示，实现了自动化，经试用，效果较好。  相似文献   

蒙阴县苏家沟科马提岩     

张荣隋  司荣军  宋炳忠  刘述敏 《山东国土资源》1998,(1)

苏家沟科马提岩呈透镜状残留体赋存于早元古代二长花岗岩中,主要由蛇纹石化橄榄科马提岩、透闪石岩、透闪片岩、阳起透闪片岩、绿泥透闪片岩、黑云阳起片岩等组成,具典型的鬣刺结构及变余鬣刺结构。该科马提岩的岩石学、岩石化学及结构特征与世界典型地区科马提岩极为相似,属橄榄科马提岩。  相似文献   

关于新时期中国西部发展沙产业的思考   总被引：1，自引：3，他引：1  

司建华  冯起  席海洋  赵春彦 《中国沙漠》2019,39(1):1-6

沙产业是中国西部开发、生态文明建设和脱贫致富的必然选择。在对新时期沙产业内涵理解的基础上，对中国西部发展沙产业的空间基础、资源基础和科技基础进行了潜力分析，通过案例分析了新时期沙产业发展与生态文明建设和精准扶贫的关系。指出了目前中国西部沙产业发展中存在的主要问题，并提出了中国西部沙产业发展的政策建议。  相似文献   

Improving Indigenous Technologies for Sustainable Land Use in Northern Mountainous Areas of Vietnam     

LeQuocDoanh HaDinhTuan 《山地科学学报》2004,1(3):270-275

More than 30 ethnic groups are now living in northern mountainous regions, Vietnam, mainly relying on shifting cultivation with the fallow period being shortened from time to time. Naturally, soil fertility reduces from cycle to cycle, entailing the reduction of productivity. Large areas of moderately sloping lands suitable for upland agriculture have become bare after many cultivation-fallow cycles. The soils there have been severely degraded with more toxicity, low porosity, low water retention capacity and poor floral diversity. Normally, these lands cannot be used for food crop cultivation. So farmers in uplands have to rely on slash-and-burn practices for their livelihood. As there is no more forest with good soil in medium slopes, farmers go to cut forests in watershed, high slope lands and old forests up to the mountains‘ top. There are ecologically and environmentally very sensitive areas, so their destruction will inevitably cause hazardous consequences in the whole basin. Meanwhile,cultivation in these areas has low economic efficiency and sustainability because the crop yield may decrease very fast due to severe erosion as the higher the slope, the more serious erosion. Consequently living standards of highland farmers remain low and unstable. Sustainable farming on these lands in the perspective of a seriously deteriorated ecology and environmental is not an easy task. There have been many projects trying to help mountainous farmers get out of their vicious circle. However, due to different reasons, the results gained are low, and in some cases,things ceased to move after the projects phased out. During past few years, based on the farmer experiences, the Vietnam Agricultural Science Institute has cooperated with local and international partners to implement different projects in order to solve the problems by developing simple, easy and cheap cultivation technologies, which can be accepted and applied by local poor farmers for sustainable agricultural production. The first results of our activities offered good opportunities for sustain food production, improve soil health, recharge of aquifers,and enhanced household income for better rural lively hoods in the upland eco-regions of northern Vietnam.  相似文献   

淄博市淄川区规范土地交易市场建设     

于学军  司书江 《山东国土资源》2007,23(11):58-59

规范、完善的土地交易市场，不仅是地方经济社会发展与成熟的重要标志，也是保证土地资源参与宏观调控的有利手段。近年来，淄博市国土资源局淄川区分局为进一步加强土地管理，积极发挥有形土地市场的作用，满足地方经济发展用地需求，逐步探索出了土地交易市场建设“一二三四五”的工作思路，不仅扭转了土地需求决定土地供给的局面，而且创造了良好的用地环境，为淄川区的经济发展注入了强大活力。  相似文献   

内蒙古地区T639气象要素预报性能评估检验     

荀学义  胡英华  张旭  斯琴  韩仲强 《气象科技》2015,43(4):647-658

通过T639模式预报产品在内蒙古地区降水量、2 m温度、相对湿度和10 m风向、风速及降水过程预报效果的适用性研究,得出以下结论,温度和相对湿度预报的准确率较风向、风速明显偏高,温度和相对湿度预报的误差系统偏小,风速预报误差偏大的概率较大;降水量的预报准确率随降水等级增加而递减,对小雨而言,模式漏报率小于空报率,多报降水的偏差和少报降水的偏差相近。在预报要素空间分布上,风向预报的偏差顺时针偏转,其夹角小于45°,温度预报偏差总体偏小,相对湿度预报偏差由西向东表现为“+、-、+、-”的分布特征;小雨和中雨落区预报偏大,暴雨落区预报偏小;贝加尔湖冷涡强度的预报偏强,西太平洋副热带高压的强度预报偏弱,影响范围偏西偏北。  相似文献   

Evaluation of the Historical Sampling Error for Global Models          下载免费PDF全文

SHEN Si  LIU Juan-Juan  WANG Bin 《大气和海洋科学快报》2015,8(5)

Various ensemble-based schemes are employed in data assimilation because they can use the ensemble to estimate the flow-dependent background error covariance. The most common way to generate the real-time ensemble is to use an ensemble forecast; however, this is very time-consuming. The historical sampling approach is an alternative way to generate the ensemble,by picking some snapshots from historical forecast series.With this approach, many ensemble-based assimilation schemes can be used in a deterministic forecast environment. Furthermore, considering the time that it saves, the method has the potential for operational application.However, the historical sampling approach carries with it a special kind of sampling error because, in a historical forecast, the way to integrate the ensemble members is different from the way to integrate the initial conditions at the analysis time(i.e., forcing and lateral boundary condition differences, and ‘warm start' or ‘cold start' differences). This study analyzes the results of an experiment with the Global Regional Assimilation Prediction System-Global Forecast System(GRAPES-GFS), to evaluate how the different integration configurations influence the historical sampling error for global models. The results show that the sampling error is dominated by diurnal cycle patterns as a result of the radiance forcing difference.Although the RMSEs of the sampling error are small, in view of the correlation coefficients of the perturbed ensemble, the sampling error for some variables on some levels(e.g., low-level temperature and humidity, stratospheric temperature and geopotential height and humidity), is non-negligible. The results suggest some caution must be applied, and advice taken, when using the historical sampling approach.  相似文献